RandyMelchert.com

April 30, 2011

WI Supreme Court Recount Update

Filed under: Recount — randallmelchert @ 8:20 pm

Kloppenburgometer.com:

April 27, 2011

Recount Starts Today!

Filed under: Recount — randallmelchert @ 10:55 am

Counties Streaming:

  • Dane (courtesy Ashley Schultz)
  • Hudson (courtesy TheUptake)
  • Waukesha (courtesy Waukesha County)

April 21, 2011

Thursday: Tracking the Data on Recalls

Filed under: Recalls — randallmelchert @ 12:16 pm

What are the stats behind the recalls? Check out our recall watch stat tracker spreadsheet. All the stats and numbers to build your scenarios to figure out who will survive and who will dust off their resume. Then check the recall scorecard to see how far along they are in the process.

Real Clear Politics has the numbers analyzed – and the Dems have an incredible strategy – pick off the weakest two in the 1st wave, then build momentum and go for a 2nd wave, and if things roll along – the 3rd wave will be even more vulnerable. Compare the tiers to the order the signatures were turned in…

April 20, 2011

The Road Ahead

Filed under: Elections — randallmelchert @ 1:38 pm

Monday, April 25 – GAB issues order for recount

1:30 – 3:30 PM – GAB Conference Call with County Clerks (Watch Online)

Wednesday, April 27 – Recount starts at 9 AM

Tuesday, May 3rd – Special Election for AD 60, 83, 94 Map

June 14th, 2011: Recall Primary for SD 18, SD 32 (tentative) - Map

June 28th, 2011: Recall Primary for SD 8, 10, 12, 14, 22 (tentative) – Map

July 12th, 2011: Recall General for SD 18, SD 32 (tentative) - Map

July 26th, 2011: Recall General for SD 8, 10, 12, 14, 22 (tentative) - Map

April 16, 2011

Saturday: Madison Tea Party with Sarah Palin!

Filed under: Uncategorized — randallmelchert @ 7:07 am

Today: Noon – 2 PM: Madison Tea Party hosted by AFP

Will see what coverage we can get from there :-)

Watch the Tea Party Live at http://www.ustream.tv/channel/melchert

Watch MacIvers Webcam of protests and partiers

Here’s what we were able to stream (after the power supply to the MacBook tripped the wires…

Watch Prosser’s Victory Speech and Tea Party Highlights from Wisconsin Eye!

04.18.11 | News Conference: Justice David Prosser
On April 18, 2011 Supreme Court Justice David Prosser held a news conference in the Assembly parlor at the state Capitol.
Watch | Listen | Link | Buy

April 15, 2011

Friday: The final countdown

Filed under: Elections — randallmelchert @ 12:33 am

Today’s Schedule:

8:30 AM Milwaukee, WI – Continuing Proofing

2:30 PM Milwaukee County Canvass Complete

4:00 PM Prosser Declares Victory!

Video from today:

2:22 pm – FINAL #S:

  • Statewide:
    • Prosser: 752,323
    • Kloppenburg: 745,007
    • Scatter: 1,550.
  • Final County Tally.
  • Final Margin: 7,316.
  • Total votes cast:  1,498,880.

1:54 pm – count done, correcting #s for GAB

1:10 pm – Better mic hopefully at our feed http://72.13.86.202:7070/live.html 

12:45 PM - Check out our livestream! (audio now working)

12:40 PM - So far today prosser up 1 net.

Canvass going well – for real time updates check @Melchert

April 14, 2011

Thursday update: The end is near?

Filed under: Elections — randallmelchert @ 12:12 am

Today’s Schedule: 9:00 AM Milwaukee, WI – Continuing Proofing

4:29 pm – Milwaukee County Proofing adjourned for the day – final results expected tomorrow. Rechecked our spreadsheet numbers today. Current numbers: Prosser 752,320 – Klopp 744,997. Margin of victory – 7,323. 7,486 votes or less qualifies for a government-paid recount.

3:25 pm@KyleMaichle52: Absentee ballots reconciled – no net change on vote totals

2:17 pm – 58 Absentee ballots from Wards 48 and 103 of city of Milwaukee are being hand counted.

Recall Watch: Summer Timetable of Recall Elections

Filed under: Recalls — randallmelchert @ 12:03 am

What’s the count on the recalls and what does the summer calendar look like?

Recall Target Recallee Date Submitted Verification Deadline Primary Date? General Date?
  • Dan Kapanke
  • Republican
  • SD 32
  • La Crosse
April 1, 2011 May 1, 2011 June 14th, 2011

  • Jennifer Shilling (D)
  • Dan Kapanke (R)
July 12th, 2011
  • Randy Hopper
  • Republican
  • SD 18
  • Fond du Lac
April 7, 2011 May 7, 2011 June 14th, 2011

  • Jessica King (D)
  • Randy Hopper (R)
July 12th, 2011
  • Luther Olsen
  • Republican
  • SD 14
  • Ripon
April 18, 2011  May 18, 2011  June 28th, 2011

  • Luther Olsen (R)
  • Fred Clark (D)
July 26th, 2011
  • Sheila Harsdorf
  • Republican
  • SD 10
  • River Falls
April 19, 2011  May 19, 2011 June 28th, 2011  July 26th, 2011
  • Robert Wirch
  • Democrat
  • SD 22
  • Pleasant Prairie
April 21, 2011  May 21, 2011 June 28th, 2011  July 26th, 2011
  • Dave Hansen
  • Democrat
  • SD 30
  • Green Bay
April 21, 2011   May 21, 2011  June 28th, 2011   July 26th, 2011
  • Jim Holperin
  • Democrat
  • SD 12
  • Eagle River
April 21, 2011   May 21, 2011  June 28th, 2011   July 26th, 2011
  • Alberta Darling
  • Republican
  • SD 8
  • Menomonee Falls
April 21, 2011   May 21, 2011 June 28th, 2011   July 26th, 2011

April 13, 2011

Where are we at?

Filed under: david prosser,Elections — randallmelchert @ 10:18 pm

Milwaukee County, the only county left to report should be in tomorrow. No word yet from Team Kloppenburg on the results of their 16-person, 2-day review of over 250,000 names on the Waukesha County voter rolls. Some groups are calling for a statewide handcount of the results. This would be a 72-county, one at a time, count of 1.5 million ballots.

However, once Milwaukee turns in its numbers, this means that all 109 cities, 405 villages, and 1,257 towns have processed the election results, submitted them to their county clerk, the county clerk has convened the canvassing board and the bipartisan boards of all 72 counties have reconciled all discrepancies and completed a finished count of all votes, write-in votes, undervotes, over votes, blank votes, and other ways of voting that are being invented by the populace. The 72 counties will have submitted their data to the state election board, and the state board will have certified the result. And the final result will be that Prosser has a 6,500 to 7,500 vote lead over Kloppenburg. It will be about a half a percent or so.

JSOnline:

“History does not provide a rosy picture of recounts of a half a percent or less,” said Brian J. Nemoir, Prosser recount team spokesman. “While there may be a legal right to a recount, after a review of past results and consideration for the heavy burden upon the state, it is in the best interests of the state to have the common sense decision be made to avoid the unnecessary drama of a recount.”

Hopefully once Milwaukee certifies its results, and the Kloppenburg team reviews its massive review of every individual voter in Waukesha County, we’ll be able to end this phase of the perpetual campaign in Wisconsin… and move on to the recall elections.

Wednesday Update – the Continuing Saga

Filed under: Elections — randallmelchert @ 12:01 am

Today’s Schedule:

8:30 AM Medford, WI – Taylor County Draw Down – One Ballot

9:00 AM Milwaukee, WI – Continuing Canvass & Proofing

6:04 PM – A reader passes on this link: Fiscally responsible Prosser should forgo $$$ WI recount (DailyKos). Because a 7,000 vote margin is far above “a fairly comfortable margin of just over 200 votes” – a recount that is “free” to the candidate will cost the state “well over one million dollars.”

4:05 PM – Milwaukee County is wrapping up for the day. Tomorrow is the new finish line projection. 38 wards in Milwaukee, 2 in Wauwatosa (22, 24), 2 in Oak Creek (4-6, 7-9), and 1 in West Allis (13) need to be reverified. 1 in West Allis and 1 in Oak Creek need a draw down (see Taylor County).

3:51 PM – Made some corrections to our county count – thanks for pointing out typos. Latest #s: Prosser 752,320 to Kloppenburg 744,995. Prosser 50.25% – Kloppenburg 49.75%. Margin of victory – 7,325. 162 votes within the threshold for free recount.

3:47 PM – from North Shore – “We will not be done in Milwaukee County today. I spoke with Lisa Weiner and she told me 38 wards in the city have to be re-verified”

12:42 PM – from North Shore Strategy Group: “We may expect results to come in before the end of business today. There could be a presser later today.”

12:12 PM – Kloppenburg loses a vote in the Taylor County drawdown of Medford District 2 (Wards 3, 4). A drawdown occurs typically with an improperly accepted absentee ballot. (Coincidentally a friend of mine was down by one on election night, after a drawdown was tied, and won on a coin flip). Sauk county also reports to the GAB – no change. In our county count, Prosser is up to a 7,272 vote lead, with 50.24% of the vote. If Prosser netted 215 votes in Milwaukee (still yet to report) a recount would cost Kloppenburg over $30,000.

11:54 AM – Apparently the GAB posted Milwaukee up for a little bit in its unofficial canvass. Going off the latest #s from the wards in our county count, Prosser is up to a 7,271 vote lead, with 50.24% of the vote.

10:47 AM Updatekylemaichle52 “An employee for the Milwaukee County Elections Commission is beginning to enter in the final numbers for the suburban wards.”

Here’s what’s going on in Taylor: “RECONVENE TO CANVASS THE ELECTIONRESULTS FROM THE CITY OF MEDORDDISTRICT 3 (W-5&6) REQUIRED DUE TODRAW DOWN OF ONE BALLOT CONTAININGA VOTE FOR SUPREME COURT JUSTICEFROM THE APRIL 5, 2011 SPRING ELECTION.”

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