Digging thru the PPP poll results some interesting tidbits. A caveat: the data from the raw dumps they offer do not match up exactly to the numbers on the PPP summaries.
Before we post the dump of categories – let’s discuss the group that should be most analyzed. It’s not a specific ethnic/age demographic, but rather a trait of people. A unique breed of people that can sense the way the wind blows. Or maybe they just go with the current. Whatever reason – these are the people who are the ticket splitters but they go with the winner. They went Obama in ’08, Walker in ’10. Among the people who tend to pick winners – Luther Olsen is up 57-38.
How about the bad luck brigade – the ones that went McCain in ’08 and Walker in ’10? The people who want to spite the crowd, the ones who swim upstream? 59% Clark – 32% Olsen.
In Hopper’s district – 58-36 Hopper among the Obama/Walker ticket splitters.
Data junkies – help yourself
- In Luther Olsen’s District:
- 7% of people are Walker voters who now disapprove of Walker (Unfaithful).
- Among the Unfaithful: 78% support Clark – 17% support Olsen
- Among the Unfaithful: 43% approve of Obama, 48% disapprove
- 4.5% of people are Barrett voters who now approve of Walker (Converts).
- Among the Converts: 80% go Olsen, 18% go Clark
- 8% are Obama voters who also voted for Walker (Wave voters)
- Among the Wave voters: 57% go Olsen, 38% go Clark
- 4.5% are McCain voters who voted for Barrett (Contrarians)
- Among the Contrarians: 32% go Olsen, 59% go Clark
- Clark’s base: he gets 67% of the vote from twentysomething women
- Olsen’s base: he gets 57% of the vote from 65+ men
