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	<title>RandyMelchert.com &#187; Polling</title>
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		<title>RandyMelchert.com &#187; Polling</title>
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		<title>Poll data: Wisconsin Recall voters who go with the majority &#8211; are going GOP</title>
		<link>http://randallmelchert.com/2011/08/08/poll-data-wisconsin-recall-voters-who-go-with-the-majority-are-going-gop/</link>
		<comments>http://randallmelchert.com/2011/08/08/poll-data-wisconsin-recall-voters-who-go-with-the-majority-are-going-gop/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Aug 2011 04:31:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>randallmelchert</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recalls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://randallmelchert.com/?p=3662</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Digging thru the PPP poll results some interesting tidbits. A caveat: the data from the raw dumps they offer do not match up exactly to the numbers on the PPP summaries. Before we post the dump of categories &#8211; let&#8217;s discuss the group that should be most analyzed. It&#8217;s not a specific ethnic/age demographic, but [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=randallmelchert.com&amp;blog=3710078&amp;post=3662&amp;subd=randallmelchert&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Digging thru the <a href="http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2011/8/5/WI-SD-14/44/yvrFB">PPP</a> poll results some interesting tidbits. <em>A caveat: the data from the raw dumps they offer do not match up exactly to the numbers on the PPP summaries.</em></p>
<p>Before we post the dump of categories &#8211; let&#8217;s discuss the group that should be most analyzed. It&#8217;s not a specific ethnic/age demographic, but rather a trait of people. A unique breed of people that can sense the way the wind blows. Or maybe they just go with the current. Whatever reason &#8211; these are the people who are the ticket splitters but they go with the winner. They went Obama in &#8217;08, Walker in &#8217;10. Among the people who tend to pick winners &#8211; Luther Olsen is up 57-38.</p>
<p>How about the bad luck brigade &#8211; the ones that went McCain in &#8217;08 and Walker in &#8217;10? The people who want to spite the crowd, the ones who swim upstream? 59% Clark &#8211; 32% Olsen.</p>
<p>In Hopper&#8217;s district &#8211; 58-36 Hopper among the Obama/Walker ticket splitters.</p>
<p>Data junkies &#8211; help yourself</p>
<ul>
<li>In Luther Olsen&#8217;s District:</li>
<ul>
<li>7% of people are Walker voters who now disapprove of Walker (Unfaithful).</li>
<ul>
<li>Among the Unfaithful: 78% support Clark &#8211; 17% support Olsen</li>
<li>Among the Unfaithful: 43% approve of Obama, 48% disapprove</li>
</ul>
<li>4.5% of people are Barrett voters who now approve of Walker (Converts).</li>
<ul>
<li>Among the Converts: 80% go Olsen,  18% go Clark</li>
</ul>
<li>8% are Obama voters who also voted for Walker (Wave voters)</li>
<ul>
<li>Among the Wave voters: 57% go Olsen, 38% go Clark</li>
</ul>
<li>4.5% are McCain voters who voted for Barrett (Contrarians)</li>
<ul>
<li>Among the Contrarians: 32% go Olsen, 59% go Clark</li>
</ul>
<li>Clark&#8217;s base: he gets 67% of the vote from twentysomething women</li>
<li>Olsen&#8217;s base: he gets 57% of the vote from 65+ men</li>
</ul>
</ul>
<div>And &#8211; in case you haven&#8217;t seen this chart from MacIver, remember recalls aren&#8217;t cheap:</div>
<p><a href="http://maciverinstitute.com/2011/08/liberal-recall-money-matrix/"><img src="http://maciverinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/LiberalRecallMoneyMatrix.jpg" alt="" width="700" /></a></p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://randallmelchert.com/category/polling/'>Polling</a>, <a href='http://randallmelchert.com/category/recalls/'>Recalls</a>, <a href='http://randallmelchert.com/category/uncategorized/'>Uncategorized</a>  <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/randallmelchert.wordpress.com/3662/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=randallmelchert.com&amp;blog=3710078&amp;post=3662&amp;subd=randallmelchert&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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